Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Compostela beat Celta Vigo with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 4 (before the first match) against those on November 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compostela | Relegation | 28.6% | 20.5% | −8.1 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 11.2% | 17.0% | +5.8 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 18.3% | 24.1% | +5.8 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 16.7% | 11.2% | −5.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 6.1% | 10.7% | +4.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 38.3% | 42.8% | +4.5 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 16.8% | 12.5% | −4.4 |
| Real Valladolid | Europa League | 14.6% | 18.7% | +4.1 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 9.6% | 5.8% | −3.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 47.4% | 43.7% | −3.7 |
