Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Real Betis with a 22.0% chance and Sevilla beat Real Valladolid with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 23 (before the first match) against those on October 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Relegation | 37.6% | 26.6% | −11.0 |
| Logroñés | Relegation | 48.1% | 57.6% | +9.4 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 63.9% | 72.8% | +8.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 42.5% | 50.9% | +8.4 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 20.7% | 13.3% | −7.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 25.3% | 32.4% | +7.1 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 12.6% | 7.1% | −5.5 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 14.8% | 20.1% | +5.4 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 13.3% | 8.2% | −5.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 22.6% | 18.1% | −4.5 |
