Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 23.3% chance and Atlético Madrid beat Real Zaragoza with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 29 (before the first match) against those on November 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mérida | Relegation | 17.7% | 11.0% | −6.6 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 31.6% | 37.8% | +6.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 13.5% | 7.8% | −5.6 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 58.5% | 63.9% | +5.4 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 18.4% | 13.3% | −5.1 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 42.8% | 47.9% | +5.0 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 11.3% | 6.6% | −4.7 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation play-off | 17.4% | 13.1% | −4.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation play-off | 17.2% | 21.3% | +4.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 27.0% | 31.0% | +4.0 |
