Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 21 (before the first match) against those on September 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volta Redonda | Relegation | 74.5% | 46.7% | −27.8 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 69.3% | 48.4% | −20.9 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 42.3% | 58.2% | +15.9 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 31.3% | 45.0% | +13.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 47.3% | 60.0% | +12.8 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 34.6% | 47.3% | +12.7 |
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 52.8% | 64.3% | +11.6 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 18.4% | 7.2% | −11.1 |
| Chapecoense | Promotion | 17.0% | 7.0% | −9.9 |
| Goiás | Champion | 29.2% | 20.3% | −8.9 |
