Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ituano beat Sport with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 12 (before the first match) against those on May 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | Relegation | 73.0% | 37.6% | −35.4 |
| Sport | Promotion | 75.3% | 54.1% | −21.2 |
| Santos | Promotion | 39.2% | 58.1% | +19.0 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 30.3% | 12.0% | −18.3 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 15.6% | 33.5% | +17.9 |
| Sport | Champion | 35.9% | 18.0% | −17.9 |
| Amazonas | Relegation | 18.9% | 35.0% | +16.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 14.5% | 30.5% | +16.0 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 11.3% | 26.2% | +14.9 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 17.3% | 32.2% | +14.9 |
