Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Amazonas beat Santos with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 8 (before the first match) against those on May 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Relegation | 57.8% | 28.6% | −29.2 |
| Amazonas | Relegation | 45.2% | 18.9% | −26.2 |
| Santos | Promotion | 63.6% | 39.2% | −24.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 40.6% | 18.7% | −21.9 |
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 21.1% | 40.9% | +19.8 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 30.8% | 12.2% | −18.6 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 24.4% | 43.0% | +18.6 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 30.3% | 48.8% | +18.5 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 32.0% | 14.2% | −17.8 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 33.3% | 15.6% | −17.7 |
