Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Chapecoense with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 14 (before the first match) against those on May 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 56.5% | 25.1% | −31.5 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 59.1% | 37.3% | −21.8 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 48.6% | 27.6% | −20.9 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 36.7% | 55.7% | +19.0 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 33.9% | 15.8% | −18.1 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 21.6% | 38.9% | +17.4 |
| CRB | Relegation | 18.1% | 34.6% | +16.4 |
| Sport | Promotion | 30.9% | 47.1% | +16.2 |
| Mirassol | Promotion | 23.7% | 39.7% | +16.0 |
| Botafogo-SP | Promotion | 33.3% | 17.6% | −15.7 |
