Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ponte Preta beat Tombense with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 8 (before the first match) against those on November 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 34.7% | 73.9% | +39.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 65.8% | 28.8% | −37.0 |
| Tombense | Relegation | 8.5% | 30.7% | +22.3 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 5.4% | 20.3% | +14.9 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 21.8% | 8.7% | −13.1 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 75.4% | 62.5% | −12.9 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 15.8% | 4.1% | −11.7 |
| Mirassol | Promotion | 19.7% | 8.3% | −11.4 |
| Vitória | Champion | 93.8% | 100% | +6.2 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 73.7% | 79.4% | +5.7 |
