Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat Atlético-GO with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 23 (before the first match) against those on October 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tombense | Relegation | 68.9% | 35.4% | −33.5 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 28.5% | 53.2% | +24.7 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 11.7% | 31.0% | +19.3 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 50.7% | 68.8% | +18.1 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 28.8% | 14.0% | −14.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 83.1% | 68.8% | −14.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 36.7% | 50.7% | +14.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 79.3% | 65.3% | −14.0 |
| Vitória | Champion | 82.8% | 91.3% | +8.5 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 22.4% | 30.1% | +7.7 |
