Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat Novorizontino with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 14 (before the first match) against those on August 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 72.1% | 48.2% | −24.0 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 28.7% | 50.9% | +22.2 |
| Vitória | Champion | 30.5% | 50.8% | +20.4 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 17.6% | 37.1% | +19.5 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 62.3% | 44.4% | −17.8 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 50.4% | 33.1% | −17.3 |
| Tombense | Relegation | 64.1% | 81.3% | +17.2 |
| Sport | Champion | 34.2% | 18.5% | −15.6 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 69.8% | 84.9% | +15.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 83.2% | 71.0% | −12.2 |
