Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 5 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tombense beat Juventude with a 13.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 8 (before the first match) against those on June 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tombense | Relegation | 74.7% | 46.5% | −28.2 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 18.5% | 40.0% | +21.6 |
| Mirassol | Promotion | 21.5% | 41.7% | +20.2 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 35.8% | 19.4% | −16.4 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 66.9% | 50.5% | −16.4 |
| Novorizontino | Champion | 21.0% | 35.2% | +14.2 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 48.4% | 62.6% | +14.2 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 31.7% | 19.1% | −12.5 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 67.7% | 79.7% | +12.0 |
| Vitória | Champion | 22.1% | 12.1% | −9.9 |
