Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 2 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 1 (before the first match) against those on May 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | Relegation | 38.7% | 8.9% | −29.9 |
| CRB | Relegation | 62.4% | 37.8% | −24.6 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 39.0% | 15.9% | −23.1 |
| Grêmio | Promotion | 54.3% | 32.3% | −22.1 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 31.1% | 10.7% | −20.4 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 4.8% | 23.0% | +18.2 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 30.1% | 12.5% | −17.5 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 39.6% | 57.0% | +17.3 |
| Sport | Promotion | 22.8% | 39.8% | +17.0 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 22.2% | 38.6% | +16.3 |
