Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 25 (before the first match) against those on July 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Promotion | 47.5% | 68.5% | +21.1 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 48.6% | 65.3% | +16.7 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 22.9% | 7.9% | −15.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 22.0% | 8.0% | −14.0 |
| CRB | Promotion | 20.2% | 7.2% | −12.9 |
| CSA | Relegation | 49.0% | 60.5% | +11.6 |
| Grêmio | Promotion | 79.8% | 68.4% | −11.4 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 16.2% | 5.0% | −11.2 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 41.9% | 53.0% | +11.1 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 55.9% | 65.7% | +9.9 |
