Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Criciúma beat Sport with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 3 (before the first match) against those on August 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Relegation | 61.8% | 34.2% | −27.6 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 62.0% | 40.8% | −21.2 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 55.6% | 35.2% | −20.5 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 33.8% | 54.1% | +20.2 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 33.4% | 51.4% | +17.9 |
| CRB | Promotion | 16.9% | 34.8% | +17.8 |
| São Bento | Relegation | 46.2% | 63.8% | +17.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 55.5% | 38.2% | −17.3 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 43.1% | 59.7% | +16.6 |
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 25.5% | 41.5% | +16.0 |
