Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 6 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Criciúma with a 15.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 13 (before the first match) against those on July 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 82.7% | 52.5% | −30.3 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 41.4% | 60.6% | +19.2 |
| São Bento | Relegation | 44.1% | 58.2% | +14.1 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 8.2% | 22.1% | +14.0 |
| Paraná | Champion | 10.3% | 22.4% | +12.1 |
| Operário-PR | Promotion | 6.0% | 16.9% | +10.9 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 6.2% | 15.9% | +9.7 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 18.0% | 8.5% | −9.5 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 7.1% | 16.4% | +9.3 |
| CRB | Relegation | 7.4% | 16.2% | +8.7 |
