Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Londrina beat Coritiba with a 24.6% chance, Criciúma beat Avaí with a 12.4% chance, and Goiás beat Atlético-GO with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 28 (before the first match) against those on June 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Relegation | 80.6% | 50.7% | −29.9 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 75.1% | 46.7% | −28.3 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 15.3% | 36.7% | +21.4 |
| CSA | Promotion | 46.5% | 67.8% | +21.3 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 55.1% | 35.4% | −19.7 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 38.2% | 57.8% | +19.6 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 30.6% | 12.8% | −17.8 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 46.0% | 28.9% | −17.2 |
| Fortaleza | Champion | 43.2% | 57.1% | +13.9 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 25.8% | 12.7% | −13.1 |
