Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat CSA with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 20 (before the first match) against those on May 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 71.8% | 38.2% | −33.6 |
| CSA | Promotion | 71.2% | 46.5% | −24.7 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 37.3% | 15.7% | −21.6 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 37.1% | 19.9% | −17.2 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 28.8% | 46.0% | +17.2 |
| CSA | Champion | 27.2% | 10.7% | −16.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 20.0% | 35.7% | +15.7 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 8.4% | 23.8% | +15.4 |
| CRB | Relegation | 18.9% | 33.6% | +14.8 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 29.4% | 15.3% | −14.1 |
