Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 5 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Oeste beat Fortaleza with a 22.6% chance and Londrina beat São Bento with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 17 (before the first match) against those on June 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina | Relegation | 41.7% | 18.6% | −23.1 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 50.6% | 27.8% | −22.9 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 35.9% | 57.1% | +21.2 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 36.0% | 15.8% | −20.2 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 11.3% | 30.0% | +18.7 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 30.4% | 12.3% | −18.1 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 14.8% | 29.0% | +14.1 |
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 84.3% | 70.3% | −14.0 |
| Fortaleza | Champion | 43.1% | 30.2% | −12.9 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 71.6% | 84.4% | +12.7 |
