Round 11

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: CRB beat Ponte Preta with a 24.4% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on June 10 (before the first match) against those on June 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
CRBRelegation55.1%25.0%−30.1
GoiásRelegation36.2%16.8%−19.3
FigueirensePromotion38.7%57.5%+18.8
AvaíPromotion50.0%66.6%+16.6
FortalezaPromotion70.2%84.3%+14.1
LondrinaRelegation28.1%41.7%+13.5
Ponte PretaPromotion23.6%10.7%−12.8
Sampaio CorrêaPromotion21.6%10.4%−11.2
Brasil de PelotasRelegation40.0%50.6%+10.7
FortalezaChampion32.5%43.1%+10.6
Home 43.0%
Draw 26.1%
Away 31.0%
Home 32.9%
Draw 26.8%
Away 40.4%
Home 39.3%
Draw 27.1%
Away 33.6%
Home 37.1%
Draw 27.7%
Away 35.2%
Home 50.9%
Draw 23.9%
Away 25.2%
Home 26.5%
Draw 24.4%
Away 49.1%
Home 24.4%
Draw 23.7%
Away 52.0%
Home 41.5%
Draw 26.5%
Away 32.1%
Home 31.5%
Draw 26.2%
Away 42.3%
Home 31.7%
Draw 26.3%
Away 42.0%