Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sampaio Corrêa beat Criciúma with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 8 (before the first match) against those on June 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 80.4% | 52.9% | −27.5 |
| Joinville | Relegation | 37.2% | 16.5% | −20.7 |
| Vasco | Champion | 38.7% | 19.8% | −18.9 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 49.6% | 68.0% | +18.4 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 78.7% | 60.5% | −18.1 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 39.3% | 21.8% | −17.5 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 17.8% | 34.6% | +16.8 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 40.7% | 56.4% | +15.8 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 31.7% | 16.4% | −15.3 |
| CRB | Promotion | 29.3% | 14.7% | −14.6 |
