Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 2 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on May 25 (before the first match) against those on May 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Red Bull BragantinoRelegation63.5%29.2%−34.4
PaysanduRelegation37.6%15.1%−22.5
CriciúmaPromotion41.9%21.5%−20.5
BahiaPromotion42.7%23.0%−19.7
CRBRelegation27.6%11.1%−16.5
ParanáPromotion17.7%33.3%+15.6
TupiRelegation17.2%32.5%+15.3
AvaíPromotion14.7%29.5%+14.8
Vila NovaRelegation29.0%42.5%+13.6
CearáRelegation16.3%29.7%+13.4
Home 32.8%
Draw 26.8%
Away 40.4%
Home 35.0%
Draw 27.6%
Away 37.5%
Home 39.0%
Draw 27.2%
Away 33.9%
Home 44.6%
Draw 25.6%
Away 29.8%
Home 48.7%
Draw 24.5%
Away 26.8%
Home 39.9%
Draw 26.9%
Away 33.2%
Home 34.3%
Draw 27.3%
Away 38.3%
Home 41.3%
Draw 26.5%
Away 32.2%
Home 34.3%
Draw 27.3%
Away 38.4%
Home 32.9%
Draw 26.8%
Away 40.3%