Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 14 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasil de Pelotas | Promotion | 50.2% | 27.8% | −22.3 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 19.2% | 35.1% | +15.9 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 29.0% | 40.6% | +11.6 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 29.4% | 18.9% | −10.5 |
| Vasco | Champion | 32.5% | 42.2% | +9.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 45.6% | 55.2% | +9.6 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 8.8% | 18.1% | +9.3 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 27.8% | 19.0% | −8.8 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 84.0% | 92.6% | +8.6 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 10.1% | 1.6% | −8.4 |
