Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paysandu beat ABC with a 21.8% chance and Red Bull Bragantino beat Macaé with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 7 (before the first match) against those on June 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macaé | Promotion | 38.1% | 23.3% | −14.8 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 57.9% | 43.5% | −14.4 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 26.2% | 12.6% | −13.6 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 20.4% | 34.0% | +13.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 39.1% | 26.4% | −12.7 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 31.5% | 42.3% | +10.8 |
| ABC | Promotion | 22.9% | 12.4% | −10.5 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 37.4% | 47.6% | +10.3 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 39.2% | 29.7% | −9.5 |
| Náutico | Champion | 19.1% | 10.1% | −9.0 |
