Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Oeste beat Boa Esporte with a 17.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 3 (before the first match) against those on June 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Promotion | 57.1% | 38.8% | −18.3 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 43.5% | 26.2% | −17.2 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 43.6% | 29.4% | −14.3 |
| Macaé | Promotion | 25.4% | 38.1% | +12.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 38.4% | 27.3% | −11.1 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 25.4% | 36.3% | +10.9 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 26.8% | 37.4% | +10.6 |
| Bahia | Champion | 18.5% | 8.2% | −10.4 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 21.6% | 31.5% | +9.9 |
| Mogi Mirim | Relegation | 61.3% | 70.7% | +9.4 |
