Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Criciúma beat Luverdense with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 14 (before the first match) against those on June 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Relegation | 42.3% | 29.5% | −12.8 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 30.6% | 41.7% | +11.1 |
| CRB | Relegation | 28.7% | 17.8% | −10.9 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 35.7% | 46.6% | +10.9 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 29.7% | 19.9% | −9.8 |
| Mogi Mirim | Relegation | 70.6% | 78.7% | +8.1 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 18.5% | 26.3% | +7.8 |
| Macaé | Promotion | 23.3% | 15.7% | −7.6 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 34.3% | 41.4% | +7.1 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 13.2% | 19.5% | +6.4 |
