Round 5

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Luverdense beat Atlético-GO with a 23.3% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on May 31 (before the first match) against those on June 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
CRBRelegation34.6%18.5%−16.1
Boa EsporteRelegation34.8%19.9%−14.8
Mogi MirimRelegation49.0%61.3%+12.4
NáuticoPromotion41.6%53.6%+12.0
OesteRelegation32.4%43.6%+11.3
Sampaio CorrêaPromotion37.1%26.8%−10.4
LuverdenseRelegation23.2%13.6%−9.6
BotafogoPromotion58.6%66.6%+8.0
CearáRelegation17.5%25.4%+8.0
ParanáRelegation27.5%34.9%+7.4
Home 60.9%
Draw 23.7%
Away 15.4%
Home 49.1%
Draw 27.1%
Away 23.7%
Home 43.4%
Draw 28.9%
Away 27.7%
Home 53.9%
Draw 25.7%
Away 20.4%
Home 50.9%
Draw 26.6%
Away 22.5%
Home 53.1%
Draw 25.9%
Away 21.0%
Home 49.7%
Draw 26.9%
Away 23.3%
Home 48.0%
Draw 27.5%
Away 24.5%
Home 40.3%
Draw 29.9%
Away 29.8%
Home 35.0%
Draw 31.7%
Away 33.3%