Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paysandu beat Boa Esporte with a 21.2% chance and Macaé beat Luverdense with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 24 (before the first match) against those on May 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Promotion | 33.3% | 21.0% | −12.3 |
| Botafogo | Promotion | 46.7% | 58.6% | +11.9 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 30.8% | 20.0% | −10.8 |
| Macaé | Promotion | 20.6% | 29.1% | +8.5 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 25.1% | 16.7% | −8.4 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 26.6% | 34.8% | +8.2 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 24.5% | 31.8% | +7.3 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 23.6% | 30.4% | +6.8 |
| ABC | Relegation | 16.9% | 10.0% | −6.8 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 14.0% | 20.7% | +6.7 |
