Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santa Cruz beat Botafogo with a 20.6% chance and Macaé beat Atlético-GO with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 10 (before the first match) against those on November 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 50.2% | 88.3% | +38.2 |
| Macaé | Relegation | 62.6% | 26.6% | −36.1 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 23.4% | 45.1% | +21.7 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 24.0% | 2.8% | −21.3 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 20.6% | 3.1% | −17.5 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 88.7% | 98.9% | +10.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 5.0% | 15.0% | +9.9 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 6.7% | <0.1% | −6.6 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 7.3% | 13.4% | +6.1 |
