Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Red Bull Bragantino beat Paraná with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 14 (before the first match) against those on November 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 15.0% | 0% | −14.9 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 88.3% | 100% | +11.7 |
| Macaé | Relegation | 26.6% | 36.3% | +9.7 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 91.5% | 100% | +8.5 |
| América-MG | Champion | 8.0% | 0% | −8.0 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 13.4% | 20.8% | +7.4 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 6.7% | 0% | −6.7 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 3.1% | 0% | −3.1 |
