Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 7 (before the first match) against those on November 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Relegation | 43.1% | 23.4% | −19.7 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 30.6% | 50.2% | +19.6 |
| Macaé | Relegation | 46.6% | 62.6% | +16.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 19.4% | 8.1% | −11.3 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 16.7% | 6.7% | −10.0 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 15.0% | 24.0% | +9.0 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 85.7% | 93.3% | +7.6 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 93.1% | 99.7% | +6.6 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 25.8% | 20.6% | −5.3 |
| Vitória | Champion | 4.4% | 0.1% | −4.4 |
