Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santa Cruz beat Bahia with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 31 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Promotion | 43.7% | 16.7% | −26.9 |
| Macaé | Relegation | 19.9% | 46.6% | +26.7 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 61.8% | 43.1% | −18.7 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 30.7% | 15.0% | −15.7 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 77.9% | 92.6% | +14.7 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 16.0% | 30.6% | +14.6 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 81.9% | 93.1% | +11.2 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 16.1% | 5.2% | −10.9 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 94.6% | 85.7% | −8.9 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 12.1% | 3.9% | −8.2 |
