Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Red Bull Bragantino beat Atlético-GO with a 23.2% chance and Náutico beat Vitória with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 24 (before the first match) against those on October 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Promotion | 67.4% | 43.7% | −23.7 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 80.0% | 61.8% | −18.2 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 93.3% | 77.9% | −15.3 |
| Macaé | Relegation | 7.7% | 19.9% | +12.2 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 19.5% | 30.7% | +11.2 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 71.7% | 81.9% | +10.2 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 85.7% | 94.6% | +8.9 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 9.5% | 18.2% | +8.7 |
| Vitória | Champion | 9.4% | 1.2% | −8.1 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 4.6% | 12.1% | +7.5 |
