Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ceará beat Botafogo with a 14.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Promotion | 30.3% | 65.7% | +35.4 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 43.9% | 14.7% | −29.2 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 40.0% | 20.8% | −19.1 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 6.4% | 21.2% | +14.8 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 24.4% | 11.6% | −12.7 |
| Luverdense | Promotion | 4.3% | 13.0% | +8.7 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 89.8% | 84.0% | −5.9 |
| Macaé | Relegation | 7.5% | 11.2% | +3.7 |
| Bahia | Champion | 0.9% | 4.1% | +3.2 |
