Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat Santa Cruz with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 10 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Promotion | 29.6% | 52.9% | +23.3 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 33.3% | 16.8% | −16.5 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 67.3% | 83.6% | +16.4 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 9.6% | 24.4% | +14.8 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 69.4% | 56.3% | −13.2 |
| Vitória | Champion | 24.4% | 12.5% | −11.9 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 30.6% | 23.3% | −7.2 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 87.1% | 93.8% | +6.8 |
| Luverdense | Promotion | 7.5% | 13.5% | +6.1 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 5.4% | 0.9% | −4.5 |
