Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Paraná with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 20 (before the first match) against those on September 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Promotion | 64.3% | 76.2% | +11.8 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 61.4% | 50.7% | −10.7 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 41.2% | 30.7% | −10.4 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 67.2% | 76.9% | +9.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 28.9% | 38.3% | +9.4 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 12.5% | 4.1% | −8.4 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 8.3% | 12.9% | +4.5 |
| Paysandu | Champion | 8.2% | 3.8% | −4.5 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 71.7% | 76.0% | +4.3 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 34.6% | 31.0% | −3.6 |
