Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat Boa Esporte with a 24.2% chance and Macaé beat Oeste with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macaé | Relegation | 24.9% | 12.6% | −12.4 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 35.0% | 45.5% | +10.4 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 44.1% | 34.2% | −9.9 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 70.5% | 60.7% | −9.8 |
| Botafogo | Promotion | 61.5% | 71.1% | +9.6 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 49.9% | 59.2% | +9.3 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 16.9% | 7.7% | −9.2 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 33.1% | 24.7% | −8.5 |
| Vitória | Champion | 25.7% | 17.9% | −7.8 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 19.4% | 26.6% | +7.2 |
