Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Luverdense beat América-MG with a 19.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 23 (before the first match) against those on August 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu | Promotion | 32.8% | 46.3% | +13.5 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 57.1% | 44.1% | −13.0 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 23.4% | 33.1% | +9.8 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 18.3% | 9.5% | −8.8 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 27.2% | 35.0% | +7.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 23.9% | 16.9% | −7.0 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 78.6% | 85.4% | +6.7 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 22.9% | 16.7% | −6.2 |
| CRB | Relegation | 14.2% | 8.2% | −6.0 |
| Paysandu | Champion | 5.2% | 10.8% | +5.7 |
