Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paysandu beat Botafogo with a 19.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 16 (before the first match) against those on August 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu | Promotion | 20.5% | 32.8% | +12.3 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 37.8% | 49.8% | +12.0 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 30.0% | 18.3% | −11.6 |
| Botafogo | Promotion | 78.0% | 66.9% | −11.1 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 31.6% | 23.4% | −8.2 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 29.6% | 22.0% | −7.6 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 85.4% | 78.6% | −6.8 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 15.9% | 22.4% | +6.5 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 17.9% | 23.9% | +6.1 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 54.3% | 48.3% | −6.0 |
