Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 9 (before the first match) against those on August 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 47.8% | 35.4% | −12.4 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 56.9% | 67.6% | +10.7 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 61.4% | 71.7% | +10.3 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 65.6% | 56.2% | −9.4 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 21.8% | 13.2% | −8.5 |
| Bahia | Champion | 22.5% | 14.7% | −7.8 |
| Vitória | Champion | 19.1% | 26.0% | +6.9 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 22.0% | 28.8% | +6.8 |
| ABC | Relegation | 56.3% | 62.8% | +6.5 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 13.7% | 7.3% | −6.4 |
