Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Macaé with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 2 (before the first match) against those on August 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 35.1% | 22.7% | −12.5 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 46.6% | 56.9% | +10.3 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 51.2% | 61.4% | +10.3 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 37.8% | 47.8% | +9.9 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 56.1% | 65.6% | +9.6 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 28.0% | 18.7% | −9.3 |
| Macaé | Promotion | 17.7% | 8.4% | −9.3 |
| Botafogo | Promotion | 69.0% | 59.8% | −9.1 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 34.6% | 26.4% | −8.2 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 30.0% | 22.0% | −7.9 |
