Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 19.9% chance and Mogi Mirim beat Ceará with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 19 (before the first match) against those on July 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mogi Mirim | Relegation | 71.8% | 57.9% | −13.9 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 41.4% | 54.1% | +12.7 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 68.6% | 56.6% | −12.0 |
| CRB | Relegation | 25.5% | 14.6% | −10.9 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 36.2% | 46.1% | +9.8 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 70.6% | 80.2% | +9.5 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 30.6% | 39.7% | +9.1 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 29.8% | 21.1% | −8.7 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 64.5% | 56.4% | −8.1 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 16.7% | 24.6% | +7.8 |
