Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ceará beat ABC with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 26 (before the first match) against those on July 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu | Promotion | 21.1% | 35.1% | +13.9 |
| ABC | Relegation | 29.0% | 42.8% | +13.7 |
| Mogi Mirim | Relegation | 57.9% | 70.5% | +12.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 54.1% | 44.8% | −9.3 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 80.2% | 71.5% | −8.7 |
| CRB | Relegation | 14.6% | 22.6% | +8.0 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 22.8% | 30.7% | +7.9 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 11.2% | 18.7% | +7.5 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 24.6% | 17.3% | −7.3 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 46.1% | 39.2% | −6.9 |
