Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat ABC with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 12 (before the first match) against those on July 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Relegation | 35.2% | 20.3% | −14.9 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 52.1% | 64.5% | +12.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 57.0% | 68.6% | +11.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 52.3% | 41.4% | −10.9 |
| ABC | Relegation | 13.5% | 23.8% | +10.3 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 30.9% | 21.4% | −9.5 |
| Botafogo | Promotion | 65.1% | 74.5% | +9.5 |
| CRB | Relegation | 17.0% | 25.5% | +8.5 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 23.2% | 31.4% | +8.2 |
| Macaé | Promotion | 25.2% | 17.9% | −7.4 |
