Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 8 (before the first match) against those on July 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Champion | 34.0% | 23.2% | −10.8 |
| Botafogo | Promotion | 75.5% | 65.1% | −10.4 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 31.7% | 40.9% | +9.2 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 41.7% | 32.6% | −9.1 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 43.5% | 52.1% | +8.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 20.2% | 11.9% | −8.3 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 27.7% | 35.2% | +7.5 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 18.8% | 24.5% | +5.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 47.0% | 52.3% | +5.2 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 35.2% | 39.8% | +4.6 |
