Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 5 (before the first match) against those on July 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Promotion | 39.7% | 51.1% | +11.4 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 52.3% | 41.7% | −10.6 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 45.5% | 35.2% | −10.4 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 43.7% | 53.9% | +10.2 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 21.6% | 31.7% | +10.0 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 36.8% | 28.4% | −8.3 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 28.7% | 21.4% | −7.3 |
| Luverdense | Relegation | 19.6% | 26.9% | +7.3 |
| ABC | Relegation | 18.6% | 11.8% | −6.8 |
| Mogi Mirim | Relegation | 88.6% | 81.8% | −6.7 |
