Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat Santa Cruz with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 25 (before the first match) against those on November 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 10.4% | 25.3% | +14.9 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 71.0% | 58.1% | −13.0 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 6.3% | 15.3% | +9.0 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 72.1% | 80.6% | +8.6 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 30.5% | 22.8% | −7.8 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 63.3% | 57.6% | −5.7 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 4.8% | 10.4% | +5.6 |
| ABC | Relegation | 11.6% | 6.9% | −4.7 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 12.2% | 7.9% | −4.4 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 13.2% | 9.9% | −3.4 |
