Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santa Cruz beat Ceará with a 24.8% chance and Atlético-GO beat Náutico with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 21 (before the first match) against those on October 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Promotion | 42.8% | 63.3% | +20.5 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 69.2% | 50.1% | −19.1 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 33.9% | 52.8% | +18.9 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 48.5% | 30.5% | −17.9 |
| Joinville | Champion | 26.1% | 42.9% | +16.8 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 55.2% | 71.0% | +15.8 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 25.2% | 12.2% | −13.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 62.4% | 52.7% | −9.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 19.1% | 10.4% | −8.7 |
| ABC | Relegation | 19.8% | 11.6% | −8.2 |
