Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 19.0% chance and Sport beat Joinville with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 12 (before the first match) against those on July 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | Promotion | 71.2% | 56.5% | −14.8 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 47.9% | 33.9% | −14.0 |
| Joinville | Champion | 28.4% | 16.3% | −12.2 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 25.2% | 35.4% | +10.2 |
| Chapecoense | Promotion | 67.1% | 77.1% | +10.1 |
| Palmeiras | Promotion | 45.7% | 55.5% | +9.8 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 26.7% | 36.5% | +9.7 |
| Sport | Promotion | 21.6% | 31.1% | +9.6 |
| ASA | Relegation | 22.8% | 32.1% | +9.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 21.7% | 12.6% | −9.1 |
