Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat Oeste with a 24.6% chance, Red Bull Bragantino beat Sport with a 19.4% chance, Icasa beat Atlético-GO with a 19.1% chance, and América-MG beat Avaí with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 9 (before the first match) against those on June 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icasa | Relegation | 42.1% | 23.1% | −19.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 36.5% | 21.6% | −14.9 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 36.7% | 47.9% | +11.2 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 20.0% | 8.8% | −11.2 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 44.9% | 55.6% | +10.7 |
| Palmeiras | Promotion | 35.5% | 45.7% | +10.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 19.6% | 9.8% | −9.8 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 33.9% | 24.1% | −9.8 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 61.9% | 71.2% | +9.3 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 12.4% | 21.6% | +9.2 |
