Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat Guarani with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 25 (before the first match) against those on June 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 37.6% | 25.8% | −11.8 |
| ABC | Promotion | 34.7% | 24.7% | −9.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 46.3% | 56.3% | +9.9 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 53.7% | 44.3% | −9.5 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 57.0% | 66.2% | +9.2 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 22.9% | 14.4% | −8.5 |
| Salgueiro | Relegation | 27.1% | 35.1% | +7.9 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 18.6% | 10.9% | −7.7 |
| Boa Esporte | Promotion | 18.0% | 10.8% | −7.2 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 21.1% | 14.3% | −6.9 |
